Arizona's COVID-19 Spread Is 'alarming' And Action Is Needed, Experts Warn Covid Usa Arizona

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PHOENIX – Experts around the country and in Arizona are because cases and hospitalizations have increased for the past two weeks.

Arizona passes 1,000 known deaths from coronavirus

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The increase in cases can't solely be attributed to increased testing in Arizona, experts say.

Instead, it looks like the state is trending upward in a way that is concerning and could need another stay-at-home order to curb the spread.

"I would go so far as to say alarming," said Dr. William Hanage, an epidemiology professor at Harvard University's T.H. Chan School of Public Health. "The only sort of crumb of comfort that I can find is that I think, in general, it's sort of easier to social distance in Arizona than it is in some places."

If trajectory continues, state 'may need to gear up for increasing action'

Arizona's largest hospital system warned over the past week that its intensive care units are filling up, ventilator use was on the rise and as Arizona started reopening.

Ducey's office has repeatedly pointed to an increase in testing as the cause of case numbers increasing.

Jessica Rigler, the state health department's assistant director, said the department is trying to spread the message that people can take precautions such as wearing a mask in public and staying home while sick.

"We don't want people to be in crisis mode, thinking that everything is all bad in Arizona with the cases," Rigler said. "We are certainly monitoring what's going on and trying to ensure that people understand where we are with COVID-19 in our communities."

Dr. Kacey Ernst, an infectious disease epidemiologist at the University of Arizona, said all signs seem to point to increasing transmission of the disease. Increased testing could explain increased cases, but not increased hospitalizations, she said. Arizona does appear to be increasing more than other states, she said.

The situation is “very concerning,” she said.

“If we continue on this trajectory and it is not just due to one or two localized outbreaks, then we may need to gear up for increasing action,” Ernst said in an email. “The director of ADHS has declared all hospitals should activate their emergency plans. That should tell us all something.”

Ducey spokesman Patrick Ptak said the governor’s office is working with public health officials and community leaders to provide more guidance on reopening, “ensuring businesses return smarter and work to mitigate the spread.”

Ptak said in an email that the increase in cases was anticipated, and the state is working on ways to increase hospital capacity. The old St. Luke’s hospital is “ready for activation” though not yet needed, he said.

Ptak also pointed to increased testing as a reason cases are increasing, saying testing has doubled since the stay at home order ended May 15.

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A woman wearing a face mask in concern for the coronavirus, passes a display in a shop window, on June 26 in Cambridge, Massachusetts. 

Dancers with the Alison Cook Beatty Dance Company perform a dress rehearsal at a baseball field in Central Park, New York, on June 26.

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Incoming cadets wear masks as they run from the bus to the footprints that were spaced 6 feet apart on June 25, during the In-Processing Day at the U.S. Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs, Colo. 

Contact tracers, from left to right, Christella Uwera, Dishell Freeman and Alejandra Camarillo talk about a case at Harris County Public Health contact tracing facility on June 25, in Houston. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott said that the state is facing a "massive outbreak" in the coronavirus pandemic and that some new local restrictions may be needed to protect hospital space for new patients.

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Luis Chavarria has his temperature taken by Sandra Lozada, medical assistant, while Alexander Panis, nurse practitioner at St. John's Well Child and Family Center, prepares a COVID-19 test, on June 25, in Los Angeles. Truck drivers at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach were offered free testing from the International Brotherhood of Teamsters.

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People walk by the Stonewall Inn, an iconic bar for the LGBTQ community around the world, on June 25, n New York City. Along with thousands of other restaurants and bars in New York, the Stonewall Inn was forced to close in mid-March as New York City began its long struggle against coronavirus. The bar, which was almost forced to close for good due to the prolonged lockdown, has started a GoFundMe page and has so far exceeded its initial goal of $50,000.

Healthcare workers from University of South Florida (USF) Health administer coronavirus testing at the Lee Davis Community Resource Center on June 25, in Tampa, Florida. The USF Health system partnered with the Hillsborough County Government to provide coronavirus testing at several location sites throughout the county. Florida is currently experiencing a surge in COVID-19 cases, as the state reached a new record for single-day infections on Wednesday with 5,511 new cases.

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What national experts see

Across the country, health experts have taken notice of Arizona's trajectory.

"There are 3 state warnings worth issuing today for COVID," Andy Slavitt, a former administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services under President Barack Obama, tweeted Tuesday. "Not panic, but time to consider actions."

Arizona was on the list, along with Arkansas and Utah.

Youyang Gu, a data scientist who created covid19-projections.com,

Oke details the subject Arizona's COVID-19 spread is 'alarming' and action is needed, experts warn hopefully info this beneficial thank you

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